Oil passes by $110, which stir the market very much while gold goes to $1,475 surprisingly to a lot of market players and XAO refused to drop down less 5,000. What is being changed? Is it the time genius and bum would make money together for these who would like use the impacts of Japan disasters, European deficit, china ghost cities, and inflation expectation? Do you known in 1970s and 1980s, our Aussie dollars were priced much more than US dollars? Do you know our Aussie dollars were price more than double of US dollars? Do you think if China slow down we would lose most of demand to our resources around the world? All of the above questions could not get certain answers! As BKP shareholders you don't need to get all of the answers but get a wise feeling or intuition if you got BKP at the price with great discount. What we should not forget 1. BKP holds a piece of potential shale oil cake, which would be in check very soon. This claim doesn't fit to the day traders. They just don't understand anything more than one day or one week. So this very soon claim is about months at least and could be years for 10 baggers collectors. 2. Three scenarios of the checking: a. it hits enough unconventional oil, which would make the market mad since all of people in oil sectors know SSN now. The expected cake, true or not, would drive its price up significantly since oil price seems force the whole market to think not wisely but emotionally; b. it fails to get any oil out. That is sad but if you pay in great discount you should not lose all; c. it gets some oil but not excited, which would cause great disappointment. 3. What would you do? Get the pennies from dollars as you play the blue chips? Would you like 10 baggers and do you know a 10 baggers means you could lose all of 10 betting at the same amount of capital? What's the worst and best in your case? In my case I prefer 10baggers. 4. The reason is simple I prefer 10bagger from $0.015 around, which is not unlikely if and only if oil price keeps to be $100 or more, bkp has the oil which is likely based on the geological structure, mom and dad come back to the oil sectors which would start a self-reinforcing process and force the day traders buy the high and sell higher until a mania happen! If I have 70% chance for 10 baggers should I get the pennies and see the train leave the station forever? Is it speculation or wise market decision based on the history, the fundamental forces, the explosive probabilities, and market sentiment? Do you know when to hold'em or unfold'em? Are you reasoning for holding or unfolding or never think but trade without brains but so called system? Personally I believe what Buffett said being greedy when most of market players are fearful and being fearful when they are greedy since it tells the logic inferred from the herd psychologies. How many of the market players around BKP are greedy without worrying about what if no oil at all from the ground for BKP? Nearly all including me! The correction since Oct 2009 could not shed any light for the herd even the players of BKP are mainly day traders, momentum traders, or penny profit players, who have more hope and guess than know what BKP is and don't have the senses of the probabilities and black swans! 10 baggers is about unprecedented surprises positively! It is and only is the result of excellent position at right time, the extremely worst cases and ruins, the explosive events in process, and then some triggers for actualizing something... It must be the excellent mixing of dreams and future realities. It is art not system. It is the result of the deep understanding the complicated market process with some help of lucks! It is about to get the improbable lowest price when the market swings to danger all into the hell, the swings to the historical means quite probably, the swings to the positive extreme with the help of good black swans, the gut, the art, the belief, the insight, and intuition... Once it happens you could give all of logic explanation but before that you could not declare it! Some would wonder why some could get $billions but he could not get. Get the chances to bet on the life turning points without the worry to lose the shirts, and have the capability to bet forever(of course you have to manage how to allocate your capital for this forever)! The history is being brewed some new bubbles. It sounds to be wise to hate the bubbles but wrong. You have to hold the cheap ticket to the future party somewhere before the people cheerfully come to the party. BKP has all of favorite matters from the existing market environment except it needs to prove it has the oil! If it has the oil, you would laugh loudly to your bank.