So I'm undecided what to do, is the market really going to go up 20% over the next 3 years? I want to spend 2 years overseas, an I don't know what to do. Do I a) borrow 20k holiday loan keep and rent the house pay the difference back when I get home. b). sell the house put $30k into a high interest savings account. I own about 30k in the property, but if I did sell would I really lose out on this.
Without knowing the specific of your circumstance, I'd say that this probably isn't the best time to be selling property, the market has really slowed down. From all the chats I have had with real estate agents of late it seems it is taking weeks often months to sell properties, with many properties needing to be relisted at reduced prices to clear. Plus with rental shortages around the country you will probably find that even if you don't get a great deal of capital growth over the next 12 - 24 months you will probably get some good growth in rental yields.
... except in Adelaide where the market is still relatively bouyant (depending on the area). I'm only assuming that rjc79's property is in Adelaide given his location. I haven't had my Adelaide properties revalued for a while, so I'm not sure how things are going at the moment. Rents are certainly rising, but whether that translates into higher yields yet, I'm not so sure.
20% return over 3 years is about 6.4% p/a compounding. It isn't exactly huge capital growth, it is pretty typical for property. But like Chris says, rental yeilds are likely to improve which may make it more worthwhile. Cynical me thinks this is coming from those real estate institutes that try to make it look like the market will go gangbusters forever, and tweak the way they present statistics in their media releases. They won't put out a release saying "growth is slowing dramatically", rather they say something positive sounding like "expect 20% returns in the next 3 years". While both statements are true, one sounds more appealing and suits their interests more. With high transaction costs in selling the property I think it is usually best to hold on to property as long as you can, because it costs a fortune to sell. Have you considered how much you will have after selling costs are taken into consideration?
It depends where your property is. BIS Shrapnel are predicting a 16% increase in median Adelaide R/E in the next 12 months; last year it was a 19.1% increase (REIA figures). Remember these are averages! I believe historically Adelaide's increase over 80 years or more averages 7% p.a compounding.
I also believe that it's not a good time to sell. Is the house your principal place of residence or an investment? If it was an investment and you sell it you will also pay capital gains tax and you don't want that to happen. Cheers
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