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The Chinese Equity Bubble: Ready to Burst

Discussion in 'Shares' started by Tropo, 30th Jul, 2009.

  1. Tropo

    Tropo Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    17th Aug, 2005
    Posts:
    3,394
    Location:
    NSW
    Amid the current financial crisis, there has been one equity index beating all others: the Shanghai Composite.
    Our analysis of this main Chinese equity index shows clear signatures of a bubble build up and we go on to predict its most likely crash date:
    July 17-27, 2009 (20%/80% quantile confidence interval).
    more .... http://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/0907/0907.1827.pdf
     
  2. Billv

    Billv Getting there

    Joined:
    15th Jul, 2007
    Posts:
    1,796
    Location:
    Sydney, NSW
    has it burst yet?