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Trading Would it be darker?

Discussion in 'Shares' started by wdongli, 12th Feb, 2011.

  1. wdongli

    wdongli Well-Known Member

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    If outcomes are short than what your goal is, you just have one task and one goal in short term, that is finding the discrepancy caused by your incapability and fill the gaps between them.

    Once you do so, you may find the source of our distortion about the market and bring more intelligent risks into our playing scope! Don't know how to do but just cry? It is a greatest warning sign to a market player. If you don't do your job, Mr Market would do its job and drags you onto the slaughter table sooner or later.

    Could we see the light at the end of tunnel which crashed not very long time ago? Do you need to find the light for yourself at least or cry for the rabbles who give up their struggle? China could crash down. US could be double crashed. Europe could be buried in the deficit. But you could not give up your right and responsibility in the market if you take it as your workshop!

    More thought in wdongli - Member Blogs. Market rewards the wise and brave men and women! If you just cry, it means something wrong with you!
     
    Last edited by a moderator: 12th Feb, 2011
  2. wdongli

    wdongli Well-Known Member

    Joined:
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    When to hold'em, RBA said it is now!

    RBA is solving the puzzle when to hlod'em, unfold'em for its rate. It feels that Australia goes ahead even in the darkness of GFC, bad market sentiment, and then it is at a winner position, but it also see no benefit to raise the rate now. It is similar I would like to hold BKP after it moves up quite big and need more events to decide where it should go, which make me decide to hold. Holding is better option when the bad and good things gets some balance.

    More thought in Decision analysis and RBA's no rate rise - Member Blogs
     
  3. wdongli

    wdongli Well-Known Member

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    In short term, such as a day or a week, it could be darker. In long run, such as two years, most of shares should be priced much better than those in GFC.

    Big number of shares got in randomness in the worst time, such as a group of shares which are more than 20 share, in GFC, based on the statistics and probability, should have the trend back to their average of the expected value in probability.

    Value is not a matter you just only could calculate based on the financial report. You could find your way to calculate the value as your playing bottom line. As the intrinsic value the expected value is elusive one. They are better to play for long term.

    More thought in wdongli - Member Blogs
     
    Last edited by a moderator: 14th Feb, 2011